Thursday, October 20, 2016

SUNY professor, who correctly predicted the victor in every presidential election since 1996, says Trump win at least 87 percent certain; other polls 'bunk

Via Billy

 Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at the South Florida Fairgrounds in West Palm Beach, Fla

".............running the model on earlier campaigns comes up with the correct outcome for every race since 1912, except the 1960 election." (Which we know was stolen)

 A SUNY professor continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year's election and he's critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece.

Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent.

Norpoth is a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island.

More  @ Syracuse
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2 comments:

  1. AnonymousOctober 21, 2016 at 2:58 PM

    Here's the link to the new piece: http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/campaign/301220-you-cant-trust-polls-clintons-winning-but-our-polling-methods-are

    Oh, and go out and vote for Gary Johnson! Johnson/Weld 2016! (Brock, did you know Gary is the most ardent supporter of states' rights out there?)

    -Dylan

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Brock TownsendOctober 21, 2016 at 6:33 PM

      Very good and thanks. Johnson does have problems though.

      http://freenorthcarolina.blogspot.com/2016/09/gary-johnson-is-complete-idiot.html

      Delete

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